UFC 96

This ppv is a lackluster card in my opinion. I was more excited for UFC95 because that card was free, all this ppv has is the main event Jackson vs Jardine. I'm a mark for Jackson so basically UFC is slapping UFC on this card and selling it which sucks and is good at the same time as it will help fans see UFC is not the best thing in the world and theres other organizations out there that do better shows like Dream, Afflicion etc.

But anyways lets go to the fights I'll be bidding on. Unlike the last fights I have bet on, these fights are pretty much a coin toss it could go either way.

But basically my co-workers are catching onto me and they know I study up on my fighters before I bet so I picked 2 fights where I believe its a coin toss. Here they are.

Matt Hamill Vs. Mark Munoz
This fight pits 2 amateur wrestlers together both of them have won awards in college but Munoz has better credentials he became California state champion 2times. So you could just see how much better of a wrestling advantage he has. But credentials aren't everything in MMA as you have to factor in strikes and kicks. For me I see this. If the fight goes to the ground, the better wrestler controls the fight. That's Munoz. Standing up it pits Hamill's boxing against Munoz Muay Thai. For me I've always thought Muay Thai fighters have better defense against a another striker as their kicks have the reach advantage. So I see Hamill getting frustrated against the kicks and he will shoot in for a take down, he will get stuffed as Munoz is the better wrestler on paper, Then Munoz will win the first round. During the second round is where Hamill will gas out as hes proven in the past hes not the most well conditioned fighter. Basically it will end with Munoz pounding out Hamill in the second.
Also he is Asian and every time I've bet against the Asian I have lost, so not this time.

Gabriel Gonzaga Vs. Shane Carwin
This fight pits 2 heavyweights in the heavyweight division, whoever wins this fight, gets a title shot in the future. In this fight I have gonzaga as he is the more complete fighter with him being a submission specialist. A lot of people have said he is the biggest threat against the current UFC heavyweight champ Brock Lesnar, as Gonzaga is a big man with a complete arsenal. But don't count Carwin out as he also has a lot of credentials. One being his size and power but his size is what made me not want to put my money on his, as I think he will gas out if the fight goes the distance. Standing up both of them have KO power so it will be dead even I might even give a slight advantage to carwin because he has reach and i think most of his fights end in a KO but he has never made it out of the first round.... On the ground if carwin is on top, I think Gonzaga will get smothered and won't be able to pull anything. But if Gonzaga is on top he has strikes and also a ton of submissions to work with. But I like Gonzaga's chances as he more experience against tough opponents compared to Carwins "undefeated career" he has fought nobodies in his 10 fights. So the fight will go 2 ways Carwin will win in the first round or he will win in a close decision if he has gas in the second round. Gonzaga has the same chances in the first round depends if gonzaga is cautious or not if he gets sloppy he will get koed but if he get survive the second round I see a submission in store if not a close decision.

Watch UFC 96 for free at Justin.tv

Have a good one
~MrISIB